Backtest Lab

Type a trading idea in plain English. See what actually happened.
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Other example trading strategies:

Pre-made strategies

Screened on 20 tickers, then re-tested on 30 more it had never seen

Every card was screened across 20 tickers from 2000โ€“2026, then re-tested on 30 more it had never seen, and split across 2000โ€“2012 versus 2013โ€“2026 to check whether it still works. They did not all pass. The badge on each card tells you which did โ€” and it is set by how often the edge was strong enough to trust, not by how often it merely pointed the right way, because a rule can point the right way on every ticker and still be indistinguishable from luck. The bottom group failed on purpose, and is here to show you what that looks like. Click any card to load it โ€” it runs against whatever ticker you have set.

Calendar strategies

Everything below was tested the same way: across every ticker we hold data for, against the significance bar that rule has to clear โ€” measured by shuffling its own signal a thousand times โ€” and split at 2013 to see whether the edge survived being published. Almost none of it did. That is the honest result, and it is worth more than a list of winners: calendar effects are the most data-mined corner of finance, and a rule that looks good after you have tried twenty of them is exactly what this app exists to catch. Every one of these is a claim about the market as a whole, so Run tests it on SPY โ€” change the ticker afterwards to try it anywhere else.

What would trigger right now

Runs every pre-made strategy against a whole universe of tickers and lists the ones whose entry rule is true at the most recent close โ€” the orders you would be placing. Update the data first if the market has closed since you last did. A rule appearing here is not a recommendation: check the badge, and remember that the more rules and tickers you watch at once, the more often one fires on luck alone.

Prices are split- and dividend-adjusted daily closes from Yahoo Finance. Entries and exits assume market-on-close orders, which do fill at the official closing price โ€” the real catch is that you must commit before you can see that print, which the slippage setting prices. Costs are modelled as a flat round-trip charge you choose above, plus a daily borrow cost on shorts; taxes and market impact are not modelled at all. Only tickers that still exist today can be tested, so every result carries survivorship bias. Test enough rules against one ticker and one will look great by luck โ€” that is what the cross-ticker scan above is for. This is research, not investment advice.